Trump did it. Everybody was wrong.

I, like nearly everyone else, did not think Trump would be in this for the long haul. Surely, he would fade. Surely, his ridiculous statements would be his downfall. Surely, a more standard politician would rise to the top. Surely, surely, surely … it just can’t be.

But it is. Trump has secured enough nomination votes to be the Republican nominee.

Wow! He did it.

So anyone who thinks they know what is going to happen in November is simply full of it. This is the most unpredictable election year ever. All bets are off. I’m not a gambling man, and it’s a good thing.

This Trump vs. Clinton election cycle will be one of the wildest ever. Really, can’t you wait to see the debates between these two? It’s going to be hysterical or really, really sad. But still hysterical.

Whatever conventional wisdom remains concerning Trump should be thrown out the window. The democrats should be shaking in their boots right now, because Hillary is looking like a very beatable candidate, and the Donald isn’t going to let up on her.

Sure there are MANY Donald detractors, and they aren’t going to be won over. And Trump still could burn and crash and come back to earth at some point. Hillary could beat him, possibly even by a big margin. But if I had to predict today, I think Donald will win – probably by a large margin. I keep hearing things like: “I don’t like what Trump says, but I decided to vote for him anyways, just to stick it to those politicians in Washington!” That’s a powerful incentive for large swaths of the country – stick it those who have betrayed them. (or something like that)

But there I am, making foolish predictions on the most unpredictable race ever. Anything can and probably will happen.

And that could include Sanders sticking around forever to see if anything seriously harmful will happen to Clinton. (aka FBI & Inspector General report) Much has been said of the crazy Republican primary, but the Democratic side has been equally chaotic. Sanders must be driving the Democratic establishment bonkers!

As a political junkie, this is a race made in heaven. It’s been fun already, and honestly, it’s just getting started.

Trump vs. Clinton. Who would have thought? Basically, nobody.

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2 thoughts on “Trump did it. Everybody was wrong.

  1. This was fun to read. I guess I’m not interested enough in politics to follow it closely enough to feel qualified to make predictions. I’ll make snap judgments, but I’m not fooling myself that they are anything more. It doesn’t require endless analysis to make voting decisions, because we are all guessing what the future will hold, including the candidates. Whoever gets elected WILL make some mistakes, as they have in the past, as we all do.

    I’ve been voting since 1972, and politically aware since 1964. Every election’s a unique contest because everyone’s unique, but most of them also have some similarities with other, previous elections. In 1964, Barry Goldwater “took” the GOP nomination in what seems (in my memory) to be a very similar fashion to what Trump did. He ran as a Republican outsider, and was opposed by the GOP establishment, but appealed most deeply and directly to economically distressed, less educated, white males. Goldwater’s enthusiastic base won him the nomination AND helped him lose the election. He couldn’t win enough votes outside his original core of supporters.

    LBJ was no JFK in terms of charisma, and some felt he was too ethically compromised to carry on JFK’s legacy. But HRC feels to me more like Hubert Humphrey, the establishment Democrat they accepted, as in “Oh well, I guess it’s his turn.” Perhaps this election will be the 1964 GOP vs the 1968 Dems.

    It’s easier to look at these events after they happen. You can compare them with other elections. After enough time has passed, we’ll have less emotional bias clouding our perceptions.

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